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[ 07-23-2008: Message edited by: Malcolm @ cruisepage ]
1) INDEPENDENCE OF THE SEAS ('08) 154,407 gt2) LIBERTY OF THE SEAS ('07) 154,407 gt3) FREEDOM OF THE SEAS ('06) 154,407 gt4) QUEEN MARY 2 ('03) 148,528 gt5) MARINER OF THE SEAS ('03) 138,279 gt6) NAVIGATOR OF THE SEAS ('02) 138,279 gt7) EXPLORER OF THE SEAS ('00) 137,308 gt8) ADVENTURE OF THE SEAS ('01) 137,276 gt9) VOYAGER OF THE SEAS ('99) 137,276 gt10) VENTURA ('08) 116,017 gt
(source: www.equasis.org)
Still to come this year: MSC FANTASIA @ 133,500 gt
Of course RUBY PRINCESS is also due, but she will fall outside the top 10.
I guess right now the Knock Nevis ex Jahre Viking is still the largest ship in service. I think there were some slightly larger ones but they have been scrapped.
[ 07-22-2008: Message edited by: Ernst ]
quote:Originally posted by rd77:Right now, the Top 10 is like this:1) INDEPENDENCE OF THE SEAS ('08) 154,407 gt2) LIBERTY OF THE SEAS ('07) 154,407 gt3) FREEDOM OF THE SEAS ('06) 154,407 gt4) QUEEN MARY 2 ('03) 148,528 gt5) MARINER OF THE SEAS ('03) 138,279 gt6) NAVIGATOR OF THE SEAS ('02) 138,279 gt7) EXPLORER OF THE SEAS ('00) 137,308 gt8) ADVENTURE OF THE SEAS ('01) 137,276 gt9) VOYAGER OF THE SEAS ('99) 137,276 gt10) VENTURA ('08) 116,017 gt(source: www.equasis.org)Still to come this year: MSC FANTASIA @ 133,500 gt Of course RUBY PRINCESS is also due, but she will fall outside the top 10.
Wow.... i knew RCI had quite a few large ships but this really puts it in perspective, 8 of the top 10 current largest ships are within their fleet. not to mention theat there are what like 3 or 4 solstice class ships on the way and then Oasis and Allure which will dwarf every other ship out there. And i believe i heard somewhere that RCI has an open option to sign a contract for a 4th freedom class ship.
1. Oasis of the Seas2. Independence of the Seas3. Liberty of the Seas4. Freedom of the Seas5. Queen Mary 26. Mariner of the Seas7. Navigator of the Seas8. Explorer of the Seas9. Adventure of the Seas10. Voyager of the Seas11. MSC Splendida12. MSC Fantasia13. Carnival Dream14. Celebrity Equinox15. Celebrity Solstice16. Ruby Princess 17. P&O Ventura18. Emerald Princess19. Crown Princess20. Caribbean Princess
By the end of 2009, after 10 years since Voyager of the Seas entered service the complete Voyager-class will still be in the top 10. The top 20 will only be composed of three corporations, RCI, Carnival and MSC with 55% being RCI, 35% Carnival and 10% MSC. By the year 2012 all this will have changed.
1. Allure of the Seas2. Oasis of the Seas3. Independence of the Seas4. Liberty of the Seas5. Freedom of the Seas6. NCL F3 - 17. NCL F3 - 28. Queen Mary 29. Mariner of the Seas10. Navigator of the Seas11. Explorer of the Seas12. Adventure of the Seas13. Voyager of the Seas14. MSC Splendida15. MSC Fantasia16. Carnival Magic17. Carnival Dream18. Disney Newbuild 119. Disney Newbuild 220. Celebrity Solstice-class ship
This can change if there are any new orders which can still be done for 2011 and 2012.
I think Oasis and Allure are a big mistake and will be the down fall of RCI.
quote:Originally posted by sunviking82:I think Oasis and Allure are a big mistake and will be the down fall of RCI.
We are always one incident away from a global disaster in the cost of oil. If they keep on increasing the daily fuel supplements it may eventually catch up with the cost of the cruise itself. Forecasting the cruise market that far in advance, building this many very large newbuilds, and then trying to fill them in the case of an unforseen economic turndown is incredibly risky. RCI is indeed going to have their hands full. And it will be interesting to see if Celebrity fulfills their obligations on all five of the Solstice-Class. I think Carnival Corp is smart staying on the safe and narrow road, innovations or not.
Between now and 2012 the cruise industry is adding 20 newbuilds that are 100,000+ tons, totaling nearly 50 over the 100K mark. There will also be another 100+ cruise ships between 50-100k that will still be in active service or as newbuilds. Thats a lot of passengers, a lot of ships, and a lot of fuel.
quote:Originally posted by Carlos Fernandez:... and by when 2012 ends:1. Allure of the Seas2. Oasis of the Seas3. Independence of the Seas4. Liberty of the Seas5. Freedom of the Seas6. NCL F3 - 17. NCL F3 - 28. Queen Mary 29. Mariner of the Seas10. Navigator of the Seas11. Explorer of the Seas12. Adventure of the Seas13. Voyager of the Seas14. MSC Splendida15. MSC Fantasia16. Carnival Magic17. Carnival Dream18. Disney Newbuild 119. Disney Newbuild 220. Celebrity Solstice-class shipThis can change if there are any new orders which can still be done for 2011 and 2012.
I never realized how big Disney's new builds actually are until I saw it in this list.
So what are some of the smallest cruise ships in regular opeartion?
The existing large ships all seem to operate perfectly well when at sea with most pax happy and not concerned about crowds etc but the burgeoning problem is how these ships interact with the ports they visit. The most consistent complaints about these vessels is crushes at embarkation and disembarkation as well as ridiculous waiting times when tendering.
These large ships are also pouring ever larger numbers into exotic ports turning these places into ugly tourist traps. Sure major European ports can absorb an extra 6000 people in mid-summer without too much hassle (God knows Europe is already a crush in summer anyway) but you have to wonder how tropical ports in the Caribbean etc can continue to cope.
Yes, the cruise companies can develop port facilites etc but at the end of the day all that you end up with is a little piece of Americana in a foreign locale and the experience of being overseas is lost completely.
Brad
quote:Originally posted by Malcolm @ cruisepage:So what are some of the smallest cruise ships in regular opeartion?
quote:Originally posted by cruiseshipluver:Pardon me but I thought QM2 was 151,400 grtcruiseshipluver
(Also, GRT is an obsolete measurement. It refers to tonnage calculated according to the rules of a specific national register, hence the 'R'. Today, GT is calculated in accordance with the International Tonnage Convention 1969 [ITC 69].)
KNOCK NEVIS is definitely still the biggest ship in the world at about 560,000 DWT. ( more info http://supertankers.topcities.com/id132.htm )
Next biggest are (I think) the 4 ULCC's built in 2002/'03 for Hellespont (Papachristides) of Greece. They are approx. 442,000 DWT each.
(here is one of them at http://supertankers.topcities.com/id239.htm )
After that, I am not sure. Maybe another old ULCC turned into an FPSO. Otherwise, it's down to huge ore carriers. The biggest ore carrier in the world at the moment is still the BERGE STAHL at 364,000 dwt.
( http://supertankers.topcities.com/bulkers/id192.htm )
However, apparently the huge Brazilian iron ore mining company Vale has up to 14(!) ore carriers of 400,000 dwt on order at the Rongsheng yard in China, plus 4 slightly smaller ones of 388,000 dwt at the Bohai yard, also in China (the latter four are ordered together with Bergesen Worldwide). They are considering ore carriers of up to 550,000 dwt. So, it would seem the future of the very largest ships in the world lies with the ore carrier. Indeed, up to 39 older single-hulled VLCC's are also being converted into Very Large Ore Carriers (VLOC's).
quote:Originally posted by Ernst:I heard rumors that there are also other ships beside passenger ships. I guess right now the Knock Nevis ex Jahre Viking is still the largest ship in service. I think there were some slightly larger ones but they have been scrapped.[ 07-22-2008: Message edited by: Ernst ]
[ 07-23-2008: Message edited by: rd77 ]
[ 07-24-2008: Message edited by: rd77 ]
quote:Originally posted by Ernst:I heard rumors that there are also other ships beside passenger ships.
Not on Cruisetalk!
quote:Originally posted by annnthony:C'mon Malcolm, fix the title......"Bigget"!
I find it facinating that RCCL has most of the largest ships, yet those ships I will NEVER choose to sail on when it comes to destination and sailing to places where I would want to get off the ship and explore the country. The only time I would sail on their large ships is when I want a holiday with the ship as the destination itself.
RCCL might have something with largest ships - if fuel goes up and airlines go out of business, they just might end up in the business of transporting masses of people across the ocean!! That would be something worth doing. Sailing across the Pacific, Indian and Atlantic Oceans on one of those!
As far as fuel for ships I have heard two other options. One is nuclear, despite its advantages their is always opposition from the uneducated minority who ban such technoligy. The other option I have heard is Hydrogen fuel cell. I personally have never heard anything about the second and dont know anything about it.
quote: RCI is indeed going to have their hands full. And it will be interesting to see if Celebrity fulfills their obligations on all five of the Solstice-Class. I think Carnival Corp is smart staying on the safe and narrow road, innovations or not.
An alternative scenario is that, in a passenger-downturn situation, the majority are attracted to the latest, biggest & glitziest ships. RCI therefore manage to keep attracting an economic number of passengers on board their behemoths, while Carnival find it increasingly hard to fill their smaller and older ships (especially, for instance, the Fantasy class).
But all will become clear in a few years!
quote:Originally posted by Sutho:[.....]RCCL might have something with largest ships - if fuel goes up and airlines go out of business, they just might end up in the business of transporting masses of people across the ocean!! That would be something worth doing. Sailing across the Pacific, Indian and Atlantic Oceans on one of those![...]
RCCL might have something with largest ships - if fuel goes up and airlines go out of business, they just might end up in the business of transporting masses of people across the ocean!! That would be something worth doing. Sailing across the Pacific, Indian and Atlantic Oceans on one of those![...]
A nice, romantic idea but planes need less fuel per person than ships to do that.
quote:Originally posted by Sutho:[.....]As far as fuel for ships I have heard two other options. One is nuclear, despite its advantages their is always opposition from the uneducated minority who ban such technoligy. The other option I have heard is Hydrogen fuel cell. I personally have never heard anything about the second and dont know anything about it.
Nuclear is by far too complicated and costly for a passenger ship. (and it will be for a long, long time) Commissioning of new power plants ashore is already difficult enough (and a bottle neck for building new nuclear power plants) - it would not make any sense to even try that aboard a passenger ship. (not to talk about the opposition of a majority (not minority!) of people)Fuel cells are certainly far more realistic than nuclear power but still very, very expensive. Also, there is no reasonable source for Hydrogen yet. Fuel cells are nevertheless very efficient and it could still be an advantage (concerning efficiency - certainly not costs!) to use a reformer.
Downsides, well RCI credit rating has slumped mainly due to the amount of debt it is carrying so raising money actually costs them more and at the prices they are paying for the new tonnage they are significanly more expensive ships than those built previously, so not only are they more expensive anyway they cost even more because of their credit rating etc. Likewise credit has become more expensive generally because of the credit crunch etc.
If then because of recession in Europe & US less people travel to save cash RCI is going to have alot of berths hanging around that they will need to fill - proably by discounting, the new ships could then run at a loss while the older ones would be ok, but if they have too many berths the natural reaction would be to dispose of older tonnage etc. problem is that RCI don't have anywhere to put it. Carnival due to large sums of cash in the bank and sheer size can weather this more easily and they have never been expense heavy etc. so they don't need to make retrenchments etc as they are already lean and mean etc. Their business is more widely based not only in geographic terms but also in terms of their pax based on incomes etc. The luxury end of the market is holding up really well even growing quickly - at the other end Carnival is so lean they can afford to discount if they need to a point where others would be loosing money and they would still make a small profit. Personally I am surprised they are ordering more ships for Princess, but then again Japan would love to get into the market so may well be building them at such a discounted price that it is so cheap Carnival couldn't say no. Micky is no ones fool.
So while I don't think Oasis and sisters will be the downfall of RCI (and if they were it would be a shame) but there are real risks. The saddest part is the risks they are taking are substantial but in terms of gain it will take a long time to make real strides in profit growth and in terms of growing the business they will always simply be #2 or even 3. It's liek they are always climbing mountains to find Micky is already standing on one even bigger.
Didnt know planes use less fuel per passenger than ships. Been hearing allot in the news lately about airlines fearing they will collapse and go out of business with rising costs of fuel.
As far as large ships go, I love going on them, but would only go on the RCCL giants for a trans Atlantic crossing and not a cruise to the Carribean or Norway. In their case the ship is the destination itself. I find their rockclimbing appealing, but ice skating I wouldnt be bothered trying.
quote:Originally posted by Sutho:Its a paranoid fear of nuclear powered ships that I think is wrong. There are too many people who have a fear of everything nuclear because of "the bomb" and meltdowns. Too many ports in the world have banned them.
It for various reasons certainly is a higher risk and more complicated than ashore. (a ship can sink, there is MUCH less space which makes safety measure more difficult, one probably has to used higher enriched fuel etc.)Nevertheless, beside technical and practical issues just the commissioning process for a new reactor design for a passenger ship (=with people being right atop of it) would be extremely complicated if not entirely impossible.
quote:Originally posted by Sutho:Didn't know planes use less fuel per passenger than ships. Been hearing allot in the news lately about airlines fearing they will collapse and go out of business with rising costs of fuel.
Didn't know planes use less fuel per passenger than ships. Been hearing allot in the news lately about airlines fearing they will collapse and go out of business with rising costs of fuel.
Planes are very efficient but fuel costs are of course still very dominant - one needs a lot of fuel to fly a lot of people over a large distance even if it is less 'miles per gallon' for each passenger than some cars.
quote:Originally posted by mike sa:I don't think the Oasis pair will be the downfall of RCI but they are taking risks.
If the Oasis pair end up being the downfall of Royal Caribbean, then the entire cruise industry will be in pretty bad shape. Personally I don't feel that two ships that carry a combined total of 10,000 passengers is that big of a risk. It's a drop in the bucket of the total capacity that cruises the Caribbean every year. The Caribbean is much less venerable to a recession, as it's fairly cheap for Americans (with a population of over 300 million) to get there. Also the percentage of Americans that have taken is a cruise is still relatively small. What ship will any new cruiser want to sail on? Oasis and her sister of course, just like most Americans want to stay at the newest and largest resorts in Vegas, Miami, and other cities.
Overall, Carnival Corp. has far more tonnage ordered than Royal Caribbean. Yes they have deeper pockets but they are just as susceptible to a major turn in the World economy as Royal Caribbean is. They are even more susceptible to localized changes in the economy due to the fact their brands are so specialized. It can go either way.
I think all this doom and gloom over the Oasis sister ships is a bit hysterical. Personally I believe these two ships will be hugely popular (just like the Voyager / Freedom Class) and will end up being a great investment for Royal Caribbean. They are truly taking "cruising" as we know it to the next level. These ships will attract people that would never consider a cruise otherwise. Royal Caribbean may or may not order more, but I have a feeling eventually more will be ordered, especially when the economy improves ..... and the economy will improve. It's only a matter of when.
If I am proven wrong, then it will be a sad day for the cruise industry, and it's likely we will all have bigger issues to worry about than the success or failure of Royal Caribbean. Not what I want to happen.
Ernie
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